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In contrast, high inflation rates of around 10 per cent can still be found elsewhere. More specifically, inflation is accelerating in economies in transition. In Latin America, inflation decelerated in most countries. In Africa, high inflation rates are mostly related to structural problems rather than to the increase in oil prices. Meanwhile, Hong Kong SAR has just emerged from a period of deflation and Japan also seems close to doing so. Increased international competition has played a key role in curbing global inflation over the past decade.

This strategy holds in particular for most Asian economies, along with continued intervention in foreign-exchange markets and sterilization. In contrast, in Latin America, room for easing remains in several countries with high interest rates and relatively low growth, such as Brazil and Mexico, as inflation is contained within the target range. Governments of other economies in that region, including those facing appreciation pressures, are expected to adopt a policy mix of tightening, foreign exchange intervention and sterilization.

All of this has been to the detriment of production capacity-enhancing business investment. A different, yet compounding factor behind depressed global investment demand is the rise in capital productivity worldwide as a result of the information and communication technology (ICT) revolution. In many East Asian economies (excluding China), lower investment rates are in part the result of the adjustment process following the 1997 financial crisis, characterized by postponing new investment projects and maximizing the use of existing production capacity.

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